Thursday, December 29, 2005

Wait until spring to buy a home in Los Angeles?

Some say that markets like real estate can be greatly affected by psychology. If that is true then the real estate market is in trouble. I was watching CNBC recently when they announced that 83% of their viewers - the investor class - believe that housing will slow in 2006.

While housing inventories are slowing more than price depreciation, eventually, prices will have to drop. It is a common trend in real estate that price decreases lag behind increases in inventory. As housing inventories continue to climb, sellers will not be able to demand top prices - at least not if they want to sell.

With many economists predicting that there could be a huge drop in the housing market next year that will push America into a recession, sellers could be about to lose a lot of power. In fact recession could exacerbate the problem for many home sellers, especially in hot markets such as California.

Of course, this could be good news for home buyers. While many real estate analysts don't expect a crash, almost all analysts predict, minimally, that some air will be let of the real estate 'bubble', especially in hot markets like Southern California.

The economy; ultimately, will be a huge factor. If the stock market does well next year, most economists believe that the real estate market will remain healthy, only dropping from double digit appreciation gains to just single digit appreciation gains.

So, if you are looking for a home in Los Angeles, or the greater Southern California area, it might not hurt to wait about 3 months. Minimally, the growing inventory of homes will push some sellers to discount their price if they are serious about selling.

Saturday, December 24, 2005

Most recent data shows mortgage activity down again

"The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending December 16. The Market Composite Index — a measure of mortgage loan application volume was 594.6 -- a decrease of 4.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from 619.3 one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 5.2 percent compared with the previous week and was down 15.2 percent compared with the same week one year earlier." (more)

More on Los Angeles Mortgages

Wednesday, December 21, 2005

U.S. Bank regulators worried about innovative loans

When you purchased your home, did you use some creative financing put together by your mortgage broker?

Are you in the market for a home and your mortgage broker is suggesting such mortgage tools as interest-only and payment option adjustable rate mortgages?

Well, the government is worried about this type of financing and you should make sure that you can cover your mortgage if interest rates spike.

For more on this mortgage story, click here.